Issued: 0530hrs Monday 3rd August 2026
Duty forecaster: Dan Graves

Widespread hot and humid conditions over the continent, showery outbreaks with some thunder in many central areas, scattered showers more widely.

Monday
A showery day in northern Portugal, as well as northern Spain; central and south Spain is dry and mostly sunny. Fair for the Balearics, similar in Sardinia and Corsica but a few showers here. Outbreaks of showers in Italy afternoon, mostly in mountainous areas, otherwise sunny. The Balkan States and Greece stay dry with plentiful sun, as does Türkiye with a few odd showers here and there.
Extensive hot weather across the central continent. Showery outbreaks in central France, some turning heavy and thundery. A few showers push into Germany and the Low Countries. Northern Germany will be dry and mostly sunny. Showers develop over the Alps in Switzerland and Austria. A scattering of showers in Czechia, Slovakia, and Poland, extending into west Ukraine, but plenty of sunny spells away from showers. Belarus is dry and sunny. Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria are mostly sunny, some showers forming near Black Sea coasts.
A drier day in Denmark and southern Sweden with sunny spells. The Baltic States are largely dry too. However, some showers affect Estonia and southern Finland, these fading with time for bright skies. A cluster of heavy showers affects northern Scandinavia with a brisk westerly wind. Norway is more widely showery, but the southeast should stay largely dry with some sun breaks.

Tuesday
Outbreaks of rain continues in northern Portugal and Spain. Some patchy rain along Spain's Mediterranean coast as well, but otherwise dry with sun spells. Fair for the western Mediterranean islands. A few afternoon showers in central and southern Italy but otherwise dry and sunny. The Balkan States remain fair, as do Greece and Türkiye, though a few isolate showers for west Greece.
Staying hot widely across the Continent. Showery outbreaks across France, Germany, and the Low Countries with local thundery downpours. Showers break out over Switzerland and Austria as well, stretching through Czechia, Poland, and Belarus. Plenty of sunshine away from showers, some fair weather cloud building afternoon. Slovakia and Hungary are dry, sunny, and very hot. A few isolated showers in Ukraine, but otherwise sunny. Romania and Bulgaria are sunny too.
Heavy, thundery showers sweep through Denmark into southern Sweden where it will be very warm. Showers into Norway with extended falls likely. Scattered showers in northern Scandinavia, picking up for several afternoon hours. Staying windy in the far north as well. Often sunny in central and southern Finland, a few afternoon showers. The Baltic States are dry with sunny spells, an odd shower affecting southern Lithuania.