Issued: 0530hrs Sunday 19th July 2026
Duty forecaster: Dan Graves

Low pressure sweeps through Poland into the Baltic States, bringing heavy rain here and to many other eastern areas.

Sunday
Mostly, dry, fine and hot across Spain and Portugal though there is the risk of an isolated shower or two near Spanish coasts and in the Pyrenees mountains. The rest of the Mediterranean will be hot with extensive sunshine. A few showers here and there in northern parts of Italy, as well as the Balkan States and western Greece, but most stay entirely dry. Türkiye stays dry as well.
Largely dry and fine across France though there is the risk of a few scattered showers across southern France. Eastern regions of the Netherlands will see more cloud and some patchy rain, with plenty of showery rain around Germany. A wet morning with heavy showers across Austria and Switzerland but these ease back in the afternoon. Thundery, heavy showers affect Poland, Ukraine and Romania. These showers affect Czechia, Slovakia, and Hungary as well, but the later afternoon sees brighter weather.
Largely dry across Norway though the odd scattered shower will affect northern areas. Much of Sweden will be dry though cloudy with outbreaks of rain in the far south, these showers spreading into Denmark. Cloudy with rain through central and southern Finland, this moving eastward with sunny weather breaking out. Patchy rain in Estonia, drier for the rest of the Baltics with sunny spells.

Monday
Italy is sunny and mostly dry, a few scattered showers here and there around mountains. Scattered showers in Bosnia and Herzegovina, a few elsewhere in the Balkan States, but most areas dry. Greece and Türkiye are dry as well.
Fine and dry in France, some cloud in the north, this extending into the Low Countries and west Germany. A few showers over Switzerland and Austria. Heavy showers affect east Germany as well, these extending into Poland and western parts of Czechia. Slovakia and Hungary stay dry with sunny spells. Belarus, Ukraine, Romania, and Bulgaria all see areas of heavy rain, locally thundery.
Heavy rain spreads across the Baltic States, Lithuania trending drier with sun later. Heavy rain in southeast Sweden early, this tending to slowly fade. Denmark is fine and increasingly bright. A few light showers here and there in the north of Scandinavia but otherwise dry for most with mixed cloud and sun.