Issued: 0530hrs Monday 16th March 2026
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson

Thundery bursts central Mediterranean

Monday
Dry and mostly sunny for Iberia and the Balearics; just some local light rain in northern Spain. Showery rain in Sardinia, but bright in Corsica. Heavy rain in central and southern Italy, often sunny to the north but with some showers in the northeast. Starting bright in the Balkan States, showers breaking out in Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, a broader area of heavy rain into Albania and North Macedonia with time. The rain affects western Greece too. Eastern Greece and Türkiye dry with sunny spells.
Spells of rain in central and northern France, drier with sunshine along the south coast. Showery rain will affect most of the Low Countries and Germany through the day, the evening perhaps brighter before sunset. A spell of rain for Poland moves east, also affecting Czechia and Slovakia, then Hungary through afternoon. Some showers for Austria, drier for Switzerland. Staying drier from Belarus southward to Bulgaria, more cloud moving in from the west.
Morning rain in Denmark, snow in Norway. This rain and snow slowly moves east into southwest Sweden. East and north Sweden stays mostly dry, as does much of northern Norway, a few bright spells. Showery rain affects the western Baltic States, a few patches further east in the morning, but eastern areas remaining largely bright. Finland starts dry with sunny spells, some patchy rain in the south later.

Tuesday
Fine weather across Spain and Portugal, though some rain may reach the far southwest later. Dry through the Balearics, Corsica and Sardinia with sunshine. Dry also in northern and central Italy. Heavy rain in southern Italy and into the southern Balkan states, also mainland Greece. Thundery bursts around Sicily and around Malta. Some showery rain for Crete, but drier across the Aegean into Türkiye, but one or two showers in southern areas. Dry and sunny for Cyprus.
France will be extensively dry with pleasantly warm sunshine, fine weather also extending into the Low Countries and much of Germany and Switzerland. Showery rain affects Austria and southeastern Germany into Czechia, Slovakia and Hungary. Some rain in western Romania, but largely dry eastward toward the Black Sea.
Patchy rain in southern Poland, drier to the north and around the Baltic Sea. Mild southwesterly air wafts across Scandinavia - windy and wet in the west of Norway, preceded by some snow, but drier for much of Denmark, Sweden and Finland.