Issued: 0530hrs Thursday 5th March 2026
Duty forecaster: Dan Graves

Heavy thunderstorms in Spain and Portugal, better conditions central and eastern Europe

Thursday
Thundery showers continues through east Spain on Thursday, some of these torrential with flooding possible. Drier and brighter to start in the west, but with a risk of showers breaking out here with time too. Further heavy showers for the Balearics and these affecting Corsica and Sardinia too, on a strong easterly wind. Italy may again have a few showers in the south but will be mostly dry with sunny breaks. Greece will have sunny spells in the morning, an increasing risk of showers from the north with time, and similar conditions in west Türkiye, dry to the east.
Rain over the far south of France, some patches spreading north with time, staying sunny in the far north. The Low Countries and Germany will be dry with sunshine, mild here too. Staying dry in Poland with more sunny periods. Sunshine is likely across the Alps and into eastern Europe, just some rain in Bulgaria and near the Black Sea with scattered cloud in Romania and Ukraine.
Denmark is going to be dry and mild with sun. The Baltic States will be dry with some sunny intervals and it will be dry in Finland too. Southern parts of Sweden and Norway will be sunny. Cloud in the far north of Scandinavia, some patchy snow in northwest Norway.

Friday
A strong northerly wind on Iberian west coasts, and a continuous stream of heavy showers across Spain. Shower continue over the Balearics, Sardinia, and Corsica, some approaching southern Italy too. Northern Italy stays sunny. The Balkan States stay sunny, as well as Greece, some cloud and light rain in the far southeast here. Fine for west Türkiye too.
Some rain in central and south France, which may be heavy near the coast. Bright with sun spells in the north and into the Low Countries and Germany; very mild in France and the Low Countries. Another widely sunny day from the Alps eastward into eastern Europe with near-average temperatures.
Staying dry and sunny in Denmark and southern Sweden. Some early cloud in the Baltic States and southern Finland, this breaking for sun as well. Some snow in northern Finland and Norway, a few bright spells, but generally cloudier to the north. Some snow affects south Norway later in the day.