Issued: 0530hrs Monday 6th July 2026
Duty forecaster: Dan Graves

Hot sunshine across much of central, southern, and western Europe, some afternoon showers around the Mediterranean.

Monday
Fine with plenty of sunshine in Iberia, scattered afternoon showers for Spain. Sunshine and hot weather across the Balearics, Sardinia, and Corsica. A few showers in central Italy, fair to the north and south. A sunny morning in the Balkan States, showers increasingly breaking out, widespread and heavy afternoon. Greece may have a shower in the west but generally hot and sunny. Scattered thunderstorms in east and southern Türkiye, fair and hot in the west.
Hot and sunny for France. Staying fine in the Low Countries with more sunshine, quite hot in Belgium. Germany is cloudier with rain in the north, some of this pushing into north and west Poland; east Poland is dry with sun spells. Thundery showers developing in Czechia, Slovakia, Hungary, and Austria. Fair in Switzerland with mixed cloud and sun. Fine in Romania and Bulgaria, afternoon heavy showers forming.
Breezy Denmark with cloud and some outbreaks of rain. Windy and cool in the Baltic States with periods of rain. Wind and some heavier rain in Finland, this affecting the far north of Sweden and Norway. Norway may have some rain in the far south but cooler with showers elsewhere. Central-southern Sweden is drier and brighter.

Tuesday
More hot sunshine in Iberia, some heavy afternoon showers in north and east Spain. Sunny for the central Mediterranean islands, a few showers in Sardinia and Corsica. Afternoon showers in central/southern Italy, otherwise fine and sunny. Afternoon showers in the south Balkan States, drier and fine for Bosnia and Herzegovina and Croatia. Some afternoon showers inland Greece but otherwise fine. Thundery showers in south and east Türkiye, staying fine to the west.
Staying hot in France, this heat stretching through Germany, Czechia, and into Hungary. France stays largely sunny too. Some patchy cloud over the Low Countries and Germany. A notable breeze in Germany with rain in the north, this stretching across much of Poland. Fine in Austria and Switzerland. Czechia, Slovakia, and Hungary will see scattered showers. Afternoon showers break out in Romania and Bulgaria too.
Staying very windy in Denmark and southern Sweden with periods of rain here. Periods of rain affect the Baltic States too, particularly Lithuania. Outbreaks of rain across Norway, Sweden, and Finland, some drier brighter regions later in the day, particularly central and northern Scandinavia.