Issued: 0530hrs Monday 14th July 2025
Duty forecaster: Garry Nicholson

Warm and thundery south Scandinavia, dry in far north

Monday
A dry and mostly sunny day for Iberia, only scattered light showers north. Substantially dry and sunny across the central Mediterranean islands, only light scattered showers central and south Italy - heavier and more frequent showers north, particularly near the mountains. Isolated light showers in the Balkan states, otherwise sunny. Sunny too for Greece and Türkiye, a notable northerly breeze through the Aegean Sea.
Patchy showery rain through France, heavier and more frequent east areas. Extensive heavy showery rain in southern Germany and Switzerland, as well as mountainous Austria. Some heavy showers extend north into west Germany and the Low Countries. A notable westerly breeze in northern France and coastal Belgium/Netherlands. Showers more patchy in eastern Germany and Poland, local heavy spots toward east Poland. Drier Slovakia and Hungary with patchy cloud. Heavy thundery rain west Ukraine, Belarus and Romania. Largely dry further south towards the Black Sea.
Heavy showery rain across most of southern Scandinavia and Denmark. Central to north Scandinavia will remain warm to hot and widely sunny. Wet too in the Baltics with risk of thunderstorms though Latvia may escape fairly dry and sunny.

Tuesday
Hot and sunny in Spain, Portugal and much of France, influenced by high pressure to the southwest. Some showers around the Pyrenees and the Alps. Isolated showers for the spine of Italy and inland over Greece into the Balkan states, but most of the Mediterranean will be fine, hot and sunny. Thundery showers by afternoon inland Turkiye and over Romania and Bulgaria.
Breezy with showers for Belgium and the Netherlands, some persistent rain later. Shallow low pressure over north-central Europe. Heavy thundery rain for eastern Germany into south and western Poland. Showery bursts forming too through Switzerland and western Austria.
Thundery rain affects southern Norway and Sweden, also Denmark, likewise the Baltic states. Further north across Scandinavia will be dry and very warm with high pressure positioned to the northwest.