Issued: 0530hrs Tuesday 18th August 2026
Duty forecaster: Simon Keeling

Hot and dry Mediterranean, cooler with rain in northern Europe

Tuesday
A dry and sunny day for Spain, Portugal and the western Mediterranean. Showers form down the spine of Italy, drier toward the north. Some showery bursts form also in the southern Balkan states and mainland Greece, but largely dry with sunshine through the Greek islands and into Turkiye. An odd shower for Cyprus.
France sees a fine day with good amounts of sunshine. A better day for the Alps with scattered afternoon showers mainly for Austria. Some rain and drizzle for the Low Countries and into northwest Germany, drier toward the east. Rain and thundery bursts clear east from Poland into Belarus and Ukraine. Dry toward the Black Sea coasts.
Southern Scandinavia is largely dry, but local showers are possible, then some rain may reach Denmark later. Rain is draped across northern parts of Norway and Sweden, more widely affecting Finland during the day, though drier in the south.

Wednesday
Some storms in the east of Spain through Wednesday evening. There is a risk of some scattered showers to across Northwestern Spain. The rest of Spain and Iberia should be fair with some good spells of sunshine throughout the day and it will be staying very warm. Staying fine through the Balearics with more sunshine here and another fine day to come across Italy, Greece and Turkey.
an area of rain affecting northern France, some of it heavy. Southern areas of France should be dry with some hot spells of sunshine. That rain also troubling the low countries and northern parts of Germany and northern Poland. Southern Poland and southern Germany as well as most of Hungary and Austria stay dry with lots of sunshine. Some afternoon showers developing over Switzerland.
low pressure brings rain and then showers to Denmark. Sunny spells and generally dry for the low countries but more rain affecting Finland. Sweden will have cloud and rain, some of it heavy in the south. Norway has sunny spells and showers across many northern and western areas and will be feeling cold.