Issued: 0530hrs Tuesday 10th March 2026
Duty forecaster: Dan Graves

Low pressure in the north Atlantic will slowly bring more unsettled weather to northwest Europe. The east stays settled for now.

Tuesday
Rain in much of Spain, mostly to the south and east, some showers extending towards the Balearics. Drier in Portugal with some bright spells. Showers for Sardinia and Corsica as well as much of Italy; northeast Italy drier but with some cloud around. Some showers in Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina, the rest of the Balkans dry but with some cloud in the north. Sunnier to the south and in Greece. Türkiye is dry and sunny too.
Rain in eastern France much of the day, then afternoon showers breaking out more widely. A dry start in the Low Countries and west Germany, but showers forming here too which may be locally heavy. Some showers around Switzerland, drier in Austria with sunny spells. East Germany into Poland also mostly dry with sun spells, a small chance of an odd showers. Further east, the skies will be mostly sunny.
Cloud in Denmark, a risk of a few showers late in the day. Showers affect west Norway much of the day, some local bright spells in the southeast. Southern Sweden starts sunny, cloud encroaching from the west as the day goes. Southern Finland starts sunny too and likely remains that way. Northern Scandinavia is cloudier with some patchy snow. The Baltic States will be sunny.

Wednesday
Some rain in northern and eastern Spain, which may drift into northern Portugal, but other areas see sunny spells. A few showers for the Balearics but otherwise mixed cloud and sun. Afternoon showery bursts again for Italy, Sardinia, and Corsica. Scattered afternoon showers in Croatia and Bosnia and Herzegovina again, the remains of southeast Europe largely in sun. Some cloud drifts around southern Greece, west Türkiye, and the Aegean.
A strengthening wind from France across the Low Countries into Germany; a band of rain sweeps across this region through the day, which may be heavy for an hour or so. A few showers in Switzerland, Austria, and Czechia, bright for a time, but trending cloudier. Sunny spells for Poland, Slovakia, and Hungary, more widely sunny further eastward. Milder temperatures in Hungary, Serbia, Romania, and Ukraine.
Strong southwesterly wind affects Denmark, southern Sweden, and Norway. Rain soon arrives in southern Norway (falling as snow in upland areas, soon pushing into Denmark and southern Sweden with time. Northern Scandinavia sill stay dry. Southern Finland is dry as well but cloudier. A few afternoon showers break out in the Baltic States, staying driest and sunniest in Lithuania.